Frederica Wilson passes the torch to Oliver Gilbert in CD24 replacement race

Frederica Wilson passes the torch to Oliver Gilbert in CD24 replacement race
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Congresswoman Frederica Wilson‘s team teased it as a “shocking announcement.”

No, she wasn’t un-retiring. But she wasn’t staying neutral.

Instead, Wilson did what veteran politicians often do when they’re leaving office: She picked a successor.

Or at least she tried to.

In a carefully staged passing-of-the-torch ceremony Monday at a Miami Gardens church, Wilson — who announced last month that she would not seek re-election — formally endorsed Miami-Dade Commissioner Oliver Gilbert III to replace her in Congress.

“My word is my bond,” Wilson declared. “If I’m endorsing you, everyone in District 24 should be endorsing you.”

Really? That’s quite a statement. Not because Wilson lacks influence (or ego). But because congressional seats don’t come with inheritance rights. Or shouldn’t. Even if some electeds occasionally act as though they do.

Read related: Florida Sen. Shevrin Jones won’t run for re-election; will he run for Congress?

The conventional wisdom in Democratic circles was that if Wilson stepped aside, State Sen. Shevrin Jones would be the natural heir apparent. Jones has spent years building relationships throughout the district. He’s one of the most visible Democratic elected officials in South Florida and has developed a national profile within the party. And he announced he would not run for re-election in his state seat before Wilson announced her retirement. Like he knew something.

But Gilbert, the former Miami Gardens mayor, former chairman of the Miami-Dade Commission and one of Mayor Daniella Levine Cava‘s most reliable allies, quickly jumped into the race, too,

Now, he has what may be the most valuable endorsement available: the blessing of the person whose name is still on the office door.

“This is the most meaningful endorsement I could ask for,” Gilbert posted on his Instagram page. “Congresswoman Wilson has fought for this community for decades, the last 15 years in Congress doing the hard work to move our community and country forward, and she does not give her word lightly.

“She knows better than anyone what’s needed in Washington. I grew up right here in South Florida, in Miami Gardens. I know what families here are up against, because I have lived it,” Gilbert wrote. “Rent that eats half a paycheck. Healthcare people cannot afford. A commute that swallows the day. I am running to change that. Not with promises, but with work.

“I am humbled to have her trust, and I will work every day to be worthy of it.”

Read related: Frederica Wilson drops the mic = North Miami-Dade’s musical chairs begins

The move instantly changes the race. It also raises some uncomfortable questions.

The first is obvious: Does Wilson really believe she could decide who replaces her?

Ladra’s answer? Of course she does.

And why wouldn’t she? Wilson has spent decades building one of the most loyal political organizations in South Florida. She’s survived redistricting, political challenges, changing demographics and shifting political winds.

She didn’t spend all those years building influence just to walk away and watch from the sidelines as they name a street after her.

The second question is whether Democratic voters agree. That’s a much harder question.

Political endorsements matter. Incumbent endorsements matter even more. But they aren’t magic. If they were, political history would look very different. Just ask all the candidates who were supposed to win because a powerful elected official told voters they should.

The third question may be the most fascinating: What does this mean for Shevrin Jones?

Because Wilson didn’t merely endorse Gilbert.

She passed over Jones. Publicly.

And in politics, those things tend to be remembered.

The endorsement effectively tells donors, consultants, labor groups, elected officials and party insiders that Wilson believes Gilbert is the candidate best positioned to carry her legacy forward. That’s a powerful signal.

Read related: The race for Frederica Wilson’s throne gets crowded, will test political alliances

The nod means even more because the field is so crowded. Former Miami-Dade Commissioner Jean Monestime is running. So is Miami art icon Marshall Davis Sr., the longtime director of Miami’s African Heritage Cultural Arts Center. So is lawyer Roderick Vereen, who once ran for Miami-Dade State Attorney. So is lawyer, veteran, physician and Creole film producer Rudy Moise, who hopes the third time he runs for federal office is the charm. So is Kendrick Meek Jr., whose dad and grandmother held the same seat.

That’s seven well-known, prominent Democrats. There’s also a write-in, a no-party-affiliation candidate and one lonely Republican running, but they don’t matter. This district is solidly blue and whoever wins the Democratic primary is a shoe-in when November rolls around.

Wilson’s endorsement identifies Gilbert as the establishment favorite. The candidate of the outgoing congresswoman. The candidate of much of the local political infrastructure. The candidate many insiders will now feel pressure to support.

Whether that’s an advantage or a liability remains to be seen.

Because while political insiders love coronations, voters can be surprisingly resistant to them.

And if there is one thing South Florida politics has taught us over the years, it’s this: Passing the torch is easy.

Convincing voters to let someone else carry it? That’s the hard part.

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