Will he or won’t he? Congressman Carlos Gimenez for Miami mayor?

Will he or won’t he? Congressman Carlos Gimenez for Miami mayor?
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And could his daughter-in-law run to succeed him?

The rumors are rampant. Will Congressman Carlos Gimenez run for city of Miami mayor?

While he is enjoying el protagonismo of the national limelight, with regular spots on cable news networks to bash Joe Biden and China or to gush over Elon Musk, Gimenez hasn’t been tapped by President Donald Trump for any ambassadorship or cabinet position. There was an expectation he would be. Some political observers said, months ago, that Gimenez pretty much had “carte blanche to choose” where he wanted to go. But he hasn’t gone anywhere. The DOGE task force doesn’t count. It was an afterthought.

Meanwhile, Marco Rubio gets not one, but two titles! Not just Secretary of State but national security advisor, too. Does he get both salaries (all tied up in one check, of course)?

And this, after Gimenez has stood solidly by Trump the entire time — still does — and has been rightfully blasted for being un lambón. Most recently, Gimenez has been among the targets of a billboard campaign that calls him out for abandoning his immigrant-rich community and acting as un servil to a dictator.

Read related: Video blasts U.S. Rep. Carlos Gimenez for silence on ending TPS, deportations

Could what might be seen as a snub have changed the congressman’s appetite for Washington?

Miami is so much closer to home and his wife and his kids and his grandkids. And it’s where he started his political career as a firefighter and later as city manager. Some people, including several close to him, say Gimenez — whose name has been included in a number of polls — wouldn’t mind coming full circle, especially if he can be cast as the one who saves Miami from the fiery depths of hell.

He would certainly become an instant frontrunner among the field of current candidates, which includes Miami-Dade Commissioner Eileen Higgins, former Miami Commissioner Ken Russell and former Miami City Manager Emilio Gonzalez, all of whom have opened campaign candidates and filed candidate oaths. Commissioner Joe Carollo and former Commissioner Alex Diaz de la Portilla are campaigning, but have not yet filed any official paperwork. The deadline to qualify is in September.

People close to his family have said that Gimenez is, indeed, considering it and will make up his mind by June.

But, then again, there’s the certainty and longevity he enjoys now. Gimenez is a sure thing in his congressional district. He can rule there for life if he wants to. A Miami election would be a risk, even if a small one, and come with term limits. Of course, at the age of 70, term limits seem relative.

Read related: Miami-Dade Commissioner Eileen Higgins could join Miami Mayor’s race

There’s so much speculation about this, however, that the rumor mill has stretched into the musings of who might replace him. Some say that State Sen. Ana Maria Rodriguez is ready to step in. She seems the heir apparent. People know her. She served a term in the Florida House before becoming a senator in 2020 and she was a Doral council member before that. Her District 40 encompasses much of Gimenez’s District 28 (formerly the 26th). She’s practically a shoe in — and this is just a rumor.

Other possible hopefuls are State Rep. Juan Carlos Porras or Miami-Dade Commissioner Roberto Gonzalez, who is fresh off his far-right fluoride fight victory, getting his colleagues to override the county mayor’s veto of the removal of fluoride from the water, which is something he championed before the Florida Legislature passed its own statewide ban. But this is totally out of his league.

Both Sen. Ana Maria Rodriguez and campaign operative Tania Cruz Gimenez like to wear their sunglasses on their heads.

Another name whispered about — mostly in horror — is Tania Cruz-Gimenez, the super smart, former Democrat attorney turned Republican campaign consultant who just happens to be the daughter-in-law of the current congressman. Cruz-Gimenez, who lost a Coral Gables commission race in 2021, helped Miami-Dade Sheriff Rosie Cordero-Stutz win the historic constitutional election last November with 56% of the vote, but lost last month with Claudia Miro, a Gables commission candidate that lost along with her in 2021 (Cruz Gimenez did better than Miro with 14% to 8% in a crowded field ultimately won by Gables Vice Mayor Rhonda Anderson).

She is now working with Denise Galvez Turros, a marketing professional and co-founder of Latinas for Trump, who is running for Miami Commission in District 3. Galvez Turros lost a bid for city commission in District 4 in 2017.

Read related: Denise Galvez Turros announces she’ll run for Miami Commission in District 3

In 2017, Cruz-Gimenez also helped Miami Commissioner Joe Carollo defend himself against a residency challenge from Alfie Leon, who lost the race by 252 votes, and essentially keep the seat he has since used repeatedly to abuse his office since. In 2020, she mounted a recall against Carollo, in part out of a guilty conscience, but that failed after the city contested it in court, saying they were filed hours late.

Cruz-Gimenez responded to Ladra in a text asking if I was crazy, with one of my favorite expletives thrown in. “Is that rumor really circling,” she asked, via text. Subsequent efforts to reach her about it have been unsuccessful.

So, that’s not a no.

And people think a potential run is why she so dramatically swore allegiance to the Republican Party with House Speaker Mike Johnson at a fundraiser in late February, where someone just happened to have a bible. Everyone laughed when she renounced the Democratic Party and swore “full support to the America First agenda and the seven core principles of conservatism.”

Those were listed out loud: “Individual liberty, limited government, rule of law, peace through strength, fiscal responsibility, free markets and human dignity.”

Really? Because at least six of the seven seem to be dismissed by our current POTUS. Maybe an argument could be made that he’s ignored all seven.

There were photos and video taken that could very easily find themselves on a mailer to voters or in TV ads. Giddily enjoying the performative moment next to her are the congressman, his wife and his namesake son, Carlos “CJ” Gimenez, who is married to Cruz-Gimenez and just does not make as good a candidate.

You don’t have to swear allegiance to anything or anyone when you switch parties from Democrat to Republican, or vice versa, as has been trending lately. The only reason to do go through such theatrics would be to raise your profile, and, perhaps, bank some campaign material.

But it would still be a tough primary against Rodriguez, even with an endorsement from the congressman. Or mayor of Miami.